• 2024 Likely Hottest Year on Record: This year is likely to surpass 2023 as the hottest year ever recorded.

• 1.5°C Breach: Global temperatures are projected to exceed 1.5°C above pre-industrial levels for the first full year across most observational records.

• Uncertainty in Data: Estimates for historical warming range from 1.44°C (NOAA) to 1.61°C (Berkeley Earth).

Single Year vs. Long-Term Warming: Exceeding 1.5°C in a single year doesn’t signify breaching the Paris Agreement’s target, which focuses on long-term trends, not annual fluctuations.

Read more at Carbon Brief.